Oscars 2025 Best Picture Odds. At least six movies are nearly locks for best picture, per ben zauzmer's mathematical formula that factors in awards season data and historical trends oscars. As award season heats up, here are a dozen movies that could take the big prize — and how they might do it.

Coming in right behind is emilia pérez at +240 odds to win best picture. Below is the 2025 oscars best picture lineup ranked by rotten tomatoes score.